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Trader leaderboard/0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951

0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951

0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
PnL (30d)
+$1,023
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$193
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
1,367W / 708L · 722 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
1,830W / 952L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
2,797
across 1,199 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.02
avg win $7 · loss $13
Profit Factor
1.25
$5,064 won / $4,041 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$143
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,440 · all-time $255,951

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.9% 1,367W/708L 1199 $28,739
🌤 Weather 64.8% 57W/31L 56 $1,281
🏛 Politics 48.5% 49W/52L 56 $963
🎬 Culture 40.9% 38W/55L 34 $551
💵 Economy 25.0% 1W/3L 8 $144
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $88
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

191 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? No 49 0.980 $48.48 $13.09 +37.0%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 58 0.825 $47.60 $32.60 +217.3%
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No 49 0.962 $47.09 $27.09 +135.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 146 0.305 $44.50 $14.50 +48.3%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? No 36 1.000 $36.35 $16.35 +81.7%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5? No 36 0.995 $36.16 $16.16 +80.8%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 69 0.485 $33.30 $3.30 +11.0%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? Yes 33 0.985 $32.82 $22.82 +228.2%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 109 0.298 $32.55 $21.68 +199.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? No 33 1.000 $32.51 $12.51 +62.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 4? No 32 1.000 $32.24 $12.24 +61.2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5? No 32 0.965 $31.13 $11.13 +55.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 40 0.770 $30.83 $9.98 +47.8%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? No 36 0.825 $30.00 $10.00 +50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? No 33 0.835 $27.38 $7.38 +36.9%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? Yes 37 0.735 $26.92 $10.14 +60.4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 37 0.730 $26.74 $6.74 +33.7%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? Yes 30 0.885 $26.38 $22.85 +646.3%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5? No 32 0.815 $26.29 $6.29 +31.4%
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? No 29 0.885 $25.49 $0.49 +2.0%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 30 0.835 $25.38 $10.38 +69.2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? No 31 0.820 $25.23 $5.23 +26.2%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 40 0.595 $23.73 $0.82 +3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? No 40 0.570 $22.80 $2.80 +14.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 29 0.775 $22.79 $2.79 +14.0%