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Trader leaderboard/0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951

0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951

0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
2W / 2L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
5W / 2L
Trades (30d)
7
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.98
avg win $6 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.58
$6 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,583 · all-time $256,081

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.0% 1,383W/711L 1216 $29,319
🌤 Weather 65.2% 58W/31L 59 $1,359
🏛 Politics 49.6% 57W/58L 56 $1,063
🎬 Culture 40.9% 38W/55L 35 $562
💵 Economy 25.0% 1W/3L 8 $151
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $88
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

190 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? No 49 0.999 $49.40 $14.01 +39.6%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 58 0.825 $47.60 $32.60 +217.3%
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No 49 0.962 $47.09 $27.09 +135.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 146 0.305 $44.50 $14.50 +48.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? Yes 37 0.999 $36.56 $19.79 +117.9%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5? No 36 0.998 $36.29 $16.29 +81.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? No 40 0.900 $36.00 $16.00 +80.0%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 69 0.485 $33.30 $3.30 +11.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? No 36 0.915 $33.27 $13.27 +66.4%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? Yes 33 0.985 $32.82 $22.82 +228.2%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 109 0.298 $32.55 $21.68 +199.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5? No 32 0.970 $31.29 $11.29 +56.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 40 0.765 $30.63 $9.77 +46.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 37 0.765 $28.02 $8.02 +40.1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? No 31 0.905 $27.85 $7.85 +39.2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? No 33 0.820 $26.89 $6.89 +34.4%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? Yes 30 0.885 $26.38 $22.85 +646.3%
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? No 29 0.885 $25.49 $0.49 +2.0%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 30 0.835 $25.38 $10.38 +69.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 29 0.855 $25.15 $5.15 +25.7%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 40 0.595 $23.73 $0.82 +3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? No 47 0.490 $22.79 $2.79 +14.0%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 47 0.485 $22.67 $2.67 +13.3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6? No 33 0.680 $22.37 $2.37 +11.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 22 0.987 $21.92 $1.92 +9.6%