PnL (30d)

+$540

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+33.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

112W / 47L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

70%

112W / 48L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

167

across 74 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$7.50

avg win $24 · loss $13

Profit Factor

2.33

$946 won / $406 lost

Reward / Risk

1.86

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.8% 177W/114L	160	$4,912
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	5	$127
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/4L	3	$429
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$243
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$198

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	293	0.615	$180.13	$13.31	+8.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	190	0.905	$171.95	$64.95	+60.7%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	145	0.675	$97.88	$16.68	+20.5%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topo	Marko Topo	150	0.615	$92.25	$-2.25	-2.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	50	0.905	$45.25	$24.25	+115.5%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	70	0.610	$42.70	$-2.80	-6.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	49	0.845	$41.65	$6.65	+19.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	200	0.155	$30.99	$-126.97	-80.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	50	0.520	$26.00	$13.00	+100.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	143	0.135	$19.30	$-30.75	-61.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	183	0.105	$19.25	$-66.75	-77.6%