PnL (30d)

+$558

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$75

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

177W / 114L · 48 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

186W / 143L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

339

across 158 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$3.85

avg win $20 · loss $12

Profit Factor

1.64

$1,436 won / $878 lost

Reward / Risk

1.66

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$40

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.8% 177W/114L	158	$4,650
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	4	$33
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$243
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/4L	2	$262
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	190	0.900	$171.00	$64.00	+59.8%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	145	0.675	$97.88	$16.68	+20.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	50	0.875	$43.75	$22.75	+108.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	200	0.215	$42.99	$-114.98	-72.8%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	70	0.605	$42.35	$-3.15	-6.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	49	0.835	$41.16	$6.16	+17.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	183	0.145	$26.58	$-59.42	-69.1%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	50	0.520	$26.00	$13.00	+100.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	143	0.175	$25.02	$-25.02	-50.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	20	0.575	$11.44	$0.30	+2.7%