PnL (30d)

+$24

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$32

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

6W / 2L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

9W / 6L

Trades (30d)

15

across 8 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$8.09

avg win $12 · loss $0

Profit Factor

54.94

$25 won / $0 lost

Reward / Risk

27.47

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.8% 177W/114L	158	$4,650
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	4	$33
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$243
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/4L	2	$262
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	190	0.895	$170.05	$63.05	+58.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	293	0.575	$168.42	$1.59	+1.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	145	0.675	$97.88	$16.68	+20.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	50	0.890	$44.50	$23.50	+111.9%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	70	0.605	$42.35	$-3.15	-6.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	49	0.845	$41.65	$6.65	+19.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	200	0.195	$38.99	$-118.98	-75.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	50	0.520	$26.00	$13.00	+100.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	143	0.165	$23.59	$-26.45	-52.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	183	0.125	$22.92	$-63.08	-73.4%