salvabets
0x045cd8e01b05b865843a8df13784add60fdd5861
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$33
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-7.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
14W / 14L
Win Return (30d)
50%
14W / 14L
Trades (30d)
28
across 7 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$4.72
avg win $27 · loss $48
Profit Factor
0.77
$110 won / $143 lost
Reward / Risk
0.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $610 · all-time $118,822
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
190 |
0.895 |
$170.05 |
$63.05 |
+58.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
Yes |
293 |
0.555 |
$162.56 |
$-4.26 |
-2.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
145 |
0.675 |
$97.88 |
$16.68 |
+20.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
50 |
0.900 |
$45.00 |
$24.00 |
+114.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
200 |
0.215 |
$42.99 |
$-114.98 |
-72.8% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.605 |
$42.35 |
$-3.15 |
-6.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
49 |
0.835 |
$41.16 |
$6.16 |
+17.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.525 |
$26.25 |
$13.25 |
+101.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
143 |
0.175 |
$25.02 |
$-25.02 |
-50.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
183 |
0.130 |
$23.83 |
$-62.17 |
-72.3% |