| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.850 |
$14.95 |
$1.92 |
+14.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.355 |
$12.93 |
$0.78 |
+6.4% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.845 |
$12.14 |
$4.70 |
+63.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
80 |
0.140 |
$11.18 |
$5.71 |
+104.3% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
26 |
0.405 |
$10.71 |
$-3.28 |
-23.4% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.915 |
$10.06 |
$5.77 |
+134.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.855 |
$9.99 |
$1.15 |
+13.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
10 |
0.927 |
$9.67 |
$-0.23 |
-2.4% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies |
Tampa Bay Rays |
16 |
0.585 |
$9.21 |
$-0.24 |
-2.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.925 |
$7.88 |
$0.22 |
+2.8% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.762 |
$7.19 |
$0.48 |
+7.2% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.957 |
$6.95 |
$0.07 |
+1.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.38 |
$1.07 |
+20.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
6 |
0.999 |
$6.27 |
$1.31 |
+26.5% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.987 |
$5.98 |
$0.34 |
+6.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.655 |
$5.41 |
$-0.67 |
-10.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
37 |
0.135 |
$4.97 |
$-0.25 |
-4.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.525 |
$4.85 |
$1.22 |
+33.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.745 |
$4.49 |
$0.87 |
+23.9% |
| Birmingham: James Duckworth vs Billy Harris |
Billy Harris |
9 |
0.500 |
$4.36 |
$1.13 |
+35.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.750 |
$4.11 |
$0.26 |
+6.6% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.971 |
$4.05 |
$1.17 |
+40.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.976 |
$3.55 |
$0.50 |
+16.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.885 |
$3.54 |
$0.43 |
+13.9% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
4 |
0.860 |
$3.40 |
$1.01 |
+42.3% |