| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.853 |
$15.00 |
$1.97 |
+15.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.355 |
$12.93 |
$0.78 |
+6.4% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.835 |
$12.00 |
$4.56 |
+61.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
80 |
0.140 |
$11.18 |
$5.71 |
+104.3% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
26 |
0.405 |
$10.71 |
$-3.28 |
-23.4% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.945 |
$10.39 |
$6.10 |
+142.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.845 |
$9.88 |
$1.04 |
+11.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
10 |
0.940 |
$9.80 |
$-0.10 |
-1.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.925 |
$7.88 |
$0.22 |
+2.8% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.757 |
$7.14 |
$0.43 |
+6.4% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.955 |
$6.94 |
$0.06 |
+0.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.38 |
$1.07 |
+20.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
6 |
0.999 |
$6.27 |
$1.31 |
+26.5% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.987 |
$5.98 |
$0.34 |
+6.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.655 |
$5.41 |
$-0.67 |
-10.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
37 |
0.135 |
$4.97 |
$-0.25 |
-4.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.510 |
$4.71 |
$1.08 |
+29.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.745 |
$4.49 |
$0.87 |
+23.9% |
| Birmingham: James Duckworth vs Billy Harris |
Billy Harris |
9 |
0.500 |
$4.36 |
$1.13 |
+35.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.750 |
$4.11 |
$0.26 |
+6.6% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.959 |
$4.00 |
$1.12 |
+38.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.976 |
$3.55 |
$0.50 |
+16.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.50 |
$0.39 |
+12.6% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
4 |
0.870 |
$3.44 |
$1.05 |
+44.0% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? |
No |
4 |
0.865 |
$3.22 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |