| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.850 |
$14.95 |
$1.92 |
+14.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.355 |
$12.93 |
$0.78 |
+6.4% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.835 |
$12.00 |
$4.56 |
+61.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
80 |
0.135 |
$10.78 |
$5.31 |
+97.0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
26 |
0.405 |
$10.71 |
$-3.28 |
-23.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.845 |
$9.88 |
$1.04 |
+11.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
10 |
0.938 |
$9.77 |
$-0.12 |
-1.3% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.880 |
$9.68 |
$5.39 |
+125.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.925 |
$7.88 |
$0.22 |
+2.8% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.953 |
$6.92 |
$0.04 |
+0.6% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.724 |
$6.82 |
$0.11 |
+1.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.38 |
$1.07 |
+20.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
6 |
0.999 |
$6.27 |
$1.31 |
+26.4% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.977 |
$5.92 |
$0.28 |
+5.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.655 |
$5.41 |
$-0.67 |
-10.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.565 |
$5.21 |
$1.58 |
+43.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
37 |
0.135 |
$4.97 |
$-0.25 |
-4.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.745 |
$4.49 |
$0.87 |
+23.9% |
| Birmingham: James Duckworth vs Billy Harris |
Billy Harris |
9 |
0.500 |
$4.36 |
$1.13 |
+35.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.750 |
$4.11 |
$0.26 |
+6.6% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.931 |
$3.89 |
$1.01 |
+34.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.976 |
$3.56 |
$0.51 |
+16.6% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.885 |
$3.54 |
$0.43 |
+13.9% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.46 |
$1.07 |
+44.8% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.620 |
$3.21 |
$0.36 |
+12.7% |