PnL (30d)

+$3,315

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$711

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

64%

4,931W / 2,816L · 81 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

5,012W / 2,816L

Trades (30d)

7,828

across 50 markets · ~157 per market

EV / position

+$67.66

avg win $282 · loss $138

Profit Factor

1.96

$6,777 won / $3,461 lost

Reward / Risk

2.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$369

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.7% 10,538W/9,838L	121	$270,327
🏛 Politics	73.9% 1,527W/538L	14	$33,639
🎬 Culture	73.9% 1,527W/538L	14	$33,639

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,585	0.970	$1,537.68	$416.22	+37.1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,553	0.030	$47.36	$-77.03	-61.9%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,500	0.001	$0.75	$-1.25	-62.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	513	0.001	$0.26	$-4.28	-94.3%