ElonSimp
0xfbcbd30ee172d6750364c117d989c4c049eebb5d
PnL (30d)
+$4,871
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$487
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
10,538W / 9,838L · 186 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
10,619W / 9,943L
Trades (30d)
20,562
across 121 markets · ~170 per market
EV / position
+$41.63
avg win $246 · loss $122
Profit Factor
1.62
$12,785 won / $7,914 lost
Reward / Risk
2.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$372
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $63,035 · all-time $1,514,283
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
51.7%
10,538W/9,838L
|
121 |
$270,327 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
73.9%
1,527W/538L
|
14 |
$33,639 |
|
🎬 Culture
|
73.9%
1,527W/538L
|
14 |
$33,639 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
2,076 |
0.967 |
$2,006.68 |
$584.03 |
+41.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
2,305 |
0.032 |
$72.60 |
$-172.76 |
-70.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
1,366 |
0.003 |
$3.41 |
$-8.66 |
-71.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.001 |
$0.75 |
$-1.25 |
-62.5% |