ElonSimp
0xfbcbd30ee172d6750364c117d989c4c049eebb5d
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3,315
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$752
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
4,931W / 2,816L · 131 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
5,062W / 2,816L
Trades (30d)
7,878
across 50 markets · ~158 per market
EV / position
+$67.66
avg win $282 · loss $138
Profit Factor
1.96
$6,777 won / $3,461 lost
Reward / Risk
2.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$369
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $67,791 · all-time $1,517,997
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
51.7%
10,538W/9,838L
|
121 |
$271,826 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
73.9%
1,527W/538L
|
14 |
$34,982 |
|
🎬 Culture
|
73.9%
1,527W/538L
|
14 |
$34,982 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
1,371 |
0.992 |
$1,359.58 |
$385.88 |
+39.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
1,611 |
0.009 |
$13.69 |
$-108.97 |
-88.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.001 |
$0.75 |
$-1.25 |
-62.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
513 |
0.001 |
$0.26 |
$-4.28 |
-94.3% |