PnL (30d)

+$686

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$109

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+37.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

94W / 142L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

95W / 158L

Trades (30d)

253

across 42 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$18.05

avg win $151 · loss $29

Profit Factor

1.83

$1,510 won / $824 lost

Reward / Risk

5.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$51

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.7% 168W/346L	96	$5,787
🏛 Politics	67.3% 35W/17L	13	$668
🎬 Culture	67.3% 35W/17L	13	$668

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.235	$71.99	$60.21	+511.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	336	0.207	$69.79	$54.38	+352.8%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.075	$22.98	$11.19	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	406	0.018	$7.11	$-7.77	-52.2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.017	$5.21	$-6.57	-55.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.004	$1.38	$-10.40	-88.3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.003	$0.77	$-11.02	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.002	$0.46	$-11.32	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	306	0.001	$0.15	$-11.63	-98.7%