PnL (30d)

+$184

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$97

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

168W / 346L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

32%

168W / 354L

Trades (30d)

522

across 94 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$2.00

avg win $112 · loss $35

Profit Factor

1.08

$2,582 won / $2,398 lost

Reward / Risk

3.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$130

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.7% 168W/346L	94	$5,562
🏛 Politics	55.1% 38W/31L	12	$572
🎬 Culture	55.1% 38W/31L	12	$572

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	50	0.973	$48.62	$30.62	+170.1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.025	$9.03	$-26.52	-74.6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.179	$5.38	$1.75	+48.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.021	$2.10	$-1.00	-32.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.002	$0.53	$-35.02	-98.5%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%