PnL (30d)

+$686

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$96

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+41.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

94W / 142L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

94W / 150L

Trades (30d)

244

across 40 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$18.05

avg win $151 · loss $29

Profit Factor

1.83

$1,510 won / $824 lost

Reward / Risk

5.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$51

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.7% 168W/346L	94	$5,562
🏛 Politics	67.3% 35W/17L	11	$443
🎬 Culture	67.3% 35W/17L	11	$443

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	50	0.971	$48.52	$30.52	+169.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.031	$11.02	$-24.53	-69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.184	$5.52	$1.89	+52.1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.018	$1.75	$-1.35	-43.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.002	$0.53	$-35.02	-98.5%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	356	0.001	$0.18	$-35.38	-99.5%