| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
45 |
0.695 |
$31.55 |
$10.84 |
+52.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
176 |
0.175 |
$30.81 |
$7.37 |
+31.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
49 |
0.580 |
$28.21 |
$2.35 |
+9.1% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
24 |
0.996 |
$23.44 |
$3.43 |
+17.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.625 |
$15.62 |
$-0.62 |
-3.8% |
| Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? |
No |
17 |
0.750 |
$12.51 |
$2.51 |
+25.1% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
12 |
0.996 |
$11.87 |
$1.85 |
+18.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
17 |
0.615 |
$10.61 |
$0.61 |
+6.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.675 |
$10.55 |
$0.55 |
+5.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
22 |
0.455 |
$10.11 |
$0.11 |
+1.1% |
| Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? |
Yes |
11 |
0.828 |
$9.30 |
$-0.70 |
-7.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.615 |
$9.22 |
$0.22 |
+2.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.420 |
$8.21 |
$-0.96 |
-10.4% |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
45 |
0.180 |
$8.18 |
$-1.82 |
-18.2% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
8 |
0.795 |
$6.24 |
$-0.27 |
-4.2% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
9 |
0.710 |
$6.13 |
$1.12 |
+22.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.815 |
$6.09 |
$1.08 |
+21.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.845 |
$5.35 |
$0.35 |
+7.0% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
6 |
0.845 |
$5.04 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? |
No |
5 |
0.725 |
$3.96 |
$-0.08 |
-2.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
110 |
0.029 |
$3.14 |
$0.14 |
+4.8% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.500 |
$2.50 |
$-0.60 |
-19.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.720 |
$2.48 |
$1.03 |
+71.4% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.410 |
$2.23 |
$-0.43 |
-16.3% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
26 |
0.080 |
$2.09 |
$-2.09 |
-50.0% |