| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
49 |
0.623 |
$30.30 |
$4.44 |
+17.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
176 |
0.165 |
$29.05 |
$5.61 |
+23.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
45 |
0.595 |
$27.01 |
$6.30 |
+30.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
24 |
0.978 |
$23.03 |
$3.02 |
+15.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.625 |
$15.62 |
$-0.62 |
-3.8% |
| Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? |
No |
17 |
0.750 |
$12.51 |
$2.51 |
+25.1% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
12 |
0.978 |
$11.66 |
$1.64 |
+16.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
17 |
0.625 |
$10.79 |
$0.78 |
+7.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.675 |
$10.55 |
$0.55 |
+5.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
22 |
0.455 |
$10.11 |
$0.11 |
+1.1% |
| Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? |
Yes |
11 |
0.828 |
$9.30 |
$-0.70 |
-7.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.665 |
$8.31 |
$3.06 |
+58.3% |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
45 |
0.180 |
$8.18 |
$-1.82 |
-18.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.377 |
$7.37 |
$-1.80 |
-19.6% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
8 |
0.785 |
$6.16 |
$-0.35 |
-5.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
9 |
0.710 |
$6.13 |
$1.12 |
+22.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.795 |
$5.94 |
$0.93 |
+18.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.845 |
$5.35 |
$0.35 |
+7.0% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
6 |
0.855 |
$5.10 |
$0.09 |
+1.8% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? |
No |
5 |
0.715 |
$3.90 |
$-0.14 |
-3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
110 |
0.028 |
$3.03 |
$0.03 |
+1.1% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.510 |
$2.55 |
$-0.55 |
-17.7% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.410 |
$2.23 |
$-0.43 |
-16.3% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
26 |
0.080 |
$2.09 |
$-2.09 |
-50.0% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
82 |
0.024 |
$1.92 |
$-0.08 |
-4.0% |