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Trader leaderboard/0xf9B5e9803Ea977b7111c9B7728aC6eA97f361212-1765800007149

0xf9B5e9803Ea977b7111c9B7728aC6eA97f361212-1765800007149

0xf9b5e9803ea977b7111c9b7728ac6ea97f361212
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$11
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-16.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
31%
11W / 25L
Win Return (30d)
31%
11W / 25L
Trades (30d)
36
across 12 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.92
avg win $5 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.65
$21 won / $32 lost
Reward / Risk
1.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,748 · all-time $559,366

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.0% 697W/887L 606 $15,133
⚽ Sports 50.0% 32W/32L 41 $996
₿ Crypto 80.0% 20W/5L 20 $275
🏛 Politics 13.3% 2W/13L 20 $266
💵 Economy 100.0% 22W/0L 18 $287
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 1 $23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 65 0.585 $38.02 $-0.97 -2.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 176 0.185 $32.57 $9.13 +38.9%
Hammarby IF FF vs. FK Apolonia Fier: O/U 4.5 Under 76 0.415 $31.54 $-2.18 -6.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 45 0.685 $31.10 $10.39 +50.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 49 0.540 $26.26 $0.40 +1.6%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 24 1.000 $23.54 $3.52 +17.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 25 0.625 $15.62 $-0.62 -3.8%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? No 17 0.747 $12.44 $2.44 +24.4%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 12 1.000 $11.91 $1.90 +19.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 17 0.620 $10.70 $0.69 +6.9%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 16 0.675 $10.55 $0.55 +5.5%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 22 0.455 $10.11 $0.11 +1.1%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 11 0.876 $9.84 $-0.16 -1.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 20 0.460 $8.99 $-0.17 -1.9%
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? Yes 45 0.175 $7.96 $-2.05 -20.5%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 8 0.790 $6.20 $-0.31 -4.8%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 9 0.715 $6.17 $1.17 +23.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 7 0.815 $6.09 $1.08 +21.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 6 0.845 $5.35 $0.35 +7.0%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 6 0.845 $5.04 $0.03 +0.6%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? No 5 0.725 $3.96 $-0.08 -2.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 110 0.028 $3.09 $0.09 +3.0%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No 5 0.500 $2.50 $-0.60 -19.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 3 0.695 $2.39 $0.95 +65.4%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.410 $2.23 $-0.43 -16.3%