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Trader leaderboard/DerDon

DerDon

0xf797d4d1c038d1eb0593edae0e66bf8e4b2e0bf2
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$541
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
21W / 1L · 48 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
62W / 8L
Trades (30d)
70
across 16 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$54.10
avg win $65 · loss $41
Profit Factor
14.04
$582 won / $41 lost
Reward / Risk
1.56
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$41
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $69,400 · all-time $12,010,783

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.8% 1,659W/2,729L 280 $238,948
🎬 Culture 50.9% 88W/85L 28 $4,680
🏛 Politics 54.5% 102W/85L 24 $7,603
🤖 Tech 94.4% 17W/1L 10 $2,672
💵 Economy 97.8% 91W/2L 8 $5,955
₿ Crypto 1 $2
⚽ Sports 1 $27

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

83 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 10,000 0.655 $6,550.00 $1,050.00 +19.1%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 31,857 0.175 $5,590.97 $-953.75 -14.6%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 6,988 0.715 $4,996.65 $12.89 +0.3%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No 7,683 0.635 $4,878.94 $415.98 +9.3%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 16,772 0.285 $4,778.41 $-2,411.33 -33.5%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 6,000 0.715 $4,289.99 $1,070.00 +33.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 4,600 0.825 $3,795.00 $-69.00 -1.8%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 4,277 0.725 $3,101.13 $690.12 +28.6%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 3,000 0.935 $2,804.98 $55.01 +2.0%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 2,700 0.975 $2,631.13 $36.05 +1.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 2,728 0.765 $2,086.83 $847.42 +68.4%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? No 2,034 0.955 $1,942.19 $420.51 +27.6%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? Yes 1,848 0.905 $1,672.71 $101.66 +6.5%
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 40,733 0.029 $1,160.90 $-1,126.44 -49.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 1,511 0.725 $1,095.56 $70.67 +6.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 1,238 0.825 $1,021.23 $26.30 +2.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? No 1,115 0.885 $987.10 $-2.76 -0.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 1,002 0.920 $921.58 $80.14 +9.5%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? No 1,013 0.800 $810.40 $40.39 +5.2%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? No 1,297 0.570 $739.06 $-102.36 -12.2%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? Yes 1,200 0.600 $720.00 $60.00 +9.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.690 $689.90 $289.90 +72.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Yes 27,834 0.025 $681.94 $-482.04 -41.4%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 4,739 0.125 $592.43 $-113.37 -16.1%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 952 0.590 $561.72 $0.00 +0.0%