| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.655 |
$6,550.00 |
$1,050.00 |
+19.1% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
31,857 |
0.176 |
$5,606.90 |
$-937.82 |
-14.3% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
6,988 |
0.715 |
$4,996.65 |
$12.89 |
+0.3% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
No |
7,683 |
0.635 |
$4,878.94 |
$415.98 |
+9.3% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
Yes |
16,772 |
0.285 |
$4,778.41 |
$-2,411.33 |
-33.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.735 |
$4,409.99 |
$1,190.00 |
+37.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,600 |
0.825 |
$3,795.00 |
$-69.00 |
-1.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
4,277 |
0.725 |
$3,101.13 |
$690.12 |
+28.6% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
3,000 |
0.935 |
$2,804.98 |
$55.01 |
+2.0% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,700 |
0.979 |
$2,643.28 |
$48.20 |
+1.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
2,728 |
0.760 |
$2,073.19 |
$833.78 |
+67.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
2,034 |
0.955 |
$1,942.19 |
$420.51 |
+27.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? |
Yes |
1,848 |
0.905 |
$1,672.71 |
$101.66 |
+6.5% |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
No |
40,733 |
0.029 |
$1,160.90 |
$-1,126.44 |
-49.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
1,511 |
0.750 |
$1,133.34 |
$108.45 |
+10.6% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
No |
1,238 |
0.825 |
$1,021.23 |
$26.30 |
+2.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
1,115 |
0.885 |
$987.10 |
$-2.76 |
-0.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
1,002 |
0.920 |
$921.58 |
$80.14 |
+9.5% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? |
No |
1,013 |
0.800 |
$810.40 |
$40.39 |
+5.2% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? |
No |
1,297 |
0.570 |
$739.06 |
$-102.36 |
-12.2% |
| Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.600 |
$720.00 |
$60.00 |
+9.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.705 |
$705.00 |
$305.00 |
+76.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
27,834 |
0.025 |
$681.94 |
$-482.04 |
-41.4% |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
4,739 |
0.125 |
$592.43 |
$-113.37 |
-16.1% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
952 |
0.585 |
$556.96 |
$-4.76 |
-0.8% |