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Trader leaderboard/DerDon

DerDon

0xf797d4d1c038d1eb0593edae0e66bf8e4b2e0bf2
PnL (30d)
−$3,736
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3,800
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
1,659W / 2,729L · 760 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
2,102W / 3,024L · 22 open
Trades (30d)
5,148
across 277 markets · ~19 per market
EV / position
−$18.13
avg win $278 · loss $344
Profit Factor
0.89
$30,025 won / $33,760 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3,447
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $64,971 · all-time $12,006,447

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.8% 1,659W/2,729L 277 $235,354
🎬 Culture 33.7% 111W/218L 37 $9,067
🏛 Politics 27.2% 94W/252L 33 $10,874
🤖 Tech 95.5% 21W/1L 13 $6,343
💵 Economy 55.4% 72W/58L 10 $8,480
₿ Crypto 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

82 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 10,000 0.635 $6,350.00 $850.00 +15.5%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 31,857 0.175 $5,590.97 $-953.75 -14.6%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 6,988 0.715 $4,996.65 $12.89 +0.3%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No 7,683 0.635 $4,878.94 $415.98 +9.3%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 16,772 0.285 $4,778.41 $-2,411.33 -33.5%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 6,000 0.715 $4,289.99 $1,070.00 +33.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 4,600 0.835 $3,841.00 $-23.00 -0.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 4,277 0.725 $3,101.13 $690.12 +28.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 2,728 0.770 $2,100.47 $861.06 +69.5%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? No 2,034 0.955 $1,942.19 $420.51 +27.6%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 2,000 0.905 $1,810.00 $-10.00 -0.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? Yes 1,848 0.915 $1,691.20 $120.14 +7.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 1,511 0.790 $1,193.78 $168.89 +16.5%
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 40,733 0.026 $1,079.43 $-1,207.91 -52.8%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 1,100 0.976 $1,073.58 $38.50 +3.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 1,238 0.825 $1,021.23 $26.30 +2.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? No 1,115 0.885 $987.10 $-2.76 -0.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 1,002 0.920 $921.58 $80.14 +9.5%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? No 1,013 0.800 $810.40 $40.39 +5.2%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? Yes 1,200 0.605 $726.00 $66.00 +10.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.725 $725.00 $325.00 +81.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Yes 27,834 0.024 $668.03 $-495.95 -42.6%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 4,739 0.126 $594.80 $-111.00 -15.7%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 952 0.595 $566.48 $4.76 +0.8%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? No 1,046 0.535 $559.52 $-143.85 -20.5%