PnL (30d)

+$23

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+1.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

105W / 36L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

105W / 36L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

143

across 113 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.21

avg win $3 · loss $8

Profit Factor

1.11

$227 won / $204 lost

Reward / Risk

0.36

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$18

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.4% 763W/421L	916	$9,976
⚽ Sports	65.9% 112W/58L	127	$1,421
🌤 Weather	87.5% 28W/4L	21	$489
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	4	$29
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	3	$46
🎬 Culture	25.0% 1W/3L	3	$37
🤖 Tech	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	31	0.974	$30.34	$12.90	+73.9%
Will FK Apolonia Fier win on 2026-08-05?	No	20	1.000	$19.99	$3.57	+21.7%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	20	0.560	$11.20	$2.00	+21.7%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.385	$7.70	$4.37	+131.0%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	20	0.365	$7.30	$0.63	+9.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.999	$5.09	$4.63	+998.3%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	7	0.325	$2.30	$-0.06	-2.5%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	12	0.036	$0.43	$-1.28	-74.8%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.057	$0.28	$-0.55	-66.1%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by less than 10%?	Yes	10	0.015	$0.14	$-1.52	-91.3%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?	Yes	10	0.014	$0.14	$-1.53	-91.6%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	20	0.006	$0.12	$-3.88	-97.0%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	20	0.004	$0.07	$-3.93	-98.2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	No	11	0.002	$0.02	$-4.05	-99.6%
Will another outcome occur in the NY-10 Democratic Primary?	Yes	10	0.001	$0.01	$-1.66	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 41°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C or below on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.01	$-1.75	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.002	$0.01	$-0.46	-98.4%