PnL (30d)

−$36

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-62.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

2W / 3L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

3W / 3L

Trades (30d)

6

across 5 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$9.03

avg win $1 · loss $19

Profit Factor

0.07

$3 won / $39 lost

Reward / Risk

0.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$32

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.6% 749W/410L	916	$9,976
⚽ Sports	65.9% 112W/58L	127	$1,421
🌤 Weather	80.0% 16W/4L	21	$489
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	4	$29
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	3	$46
🎬 Culture	25.0% 1W/3L	3	$37
🤖 Tech	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	31	0.961	$29.92	$12.48	+71.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	20	1.000	$19.99	$18.17	+999.4%
Will FK Apolonia Fier win on 2026-08-05?	No	20	0.985	$19.69	$3.27	+19.9%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	20	0.560	$11.20	$2.00	+21.7%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.385	$7.70	$4.37	+131.0%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	20	0.365	$7.30	$0.63	+9.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.960	$4.90	$4.43	+956.0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.210	$4.07	$2.31	+131.0%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	7	0.325	$2.30	$-0.06	-2.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	No	11	0.180	$1.98	$-2.09	-51.4%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	12	0.036	$0.43	$-1.28	-74.8%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.056	$0.28	$-0.55	-66.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by less than 10%?	Yes	10	0.015	$0.14	$-1.52	-91.3%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?	Yes	10	0.014	$0.14	$-1.53	-91.6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.025	$0.13	$-0.33	-72.1%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	20	0.006	$0.12	$-3.88	-97.0%