PnL (30d)

+$225

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$32

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

749W / 410L · 42 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

772W / 425L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

1,201

across 913 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.25

avg win $4 · loss $7

Profit Factor

1.10

$2,416 won / $2,191 lost

Reward / Risk

0.57

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$110

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.6% 749W/410L	913	$9,949
⚽ Sports	65.5% 114W/60L	131	$1,447
🌤 Weather	80.0% 16W/4L	21	$489
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	4	$29
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	3	$46
🎬 Culture	25.0% 1W/3L	3	$37
🤖 Tech	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	31	0.975	$30.36	$12.91	+74.0%
Will FK Apolonia Fier win on 2026-08-05?	No	20	0.976	$19.51	$3.09	+18.8%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	20	0.560	$11.20	$2.00	+21.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.395	$7.90	$6.08	+334.5%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	20	0.365	$7.30	$0.63	+9.5%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	7	0.375	$2.66	$0.30	+12.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	20	0.018	$0.35	$-1.47	-80.7%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	12	0.026	$0.32	$-1.40	-81.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-28.93	-99.4%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by less than 10%?	Yes	10	0.015	$0.14	$-1.52	-91.3%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?	Yes	10	0.014	$0.14	$-1.53	-91.6%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	20	0.006	$0.12	$-3.88	-97.0%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	20	0.004	$0.07	$-3.93	-98.2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?	No	11	0.005	$0.06	$-3.96	-98.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.001	$0.01	$-1.81	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.001	$0.01	$-1.81	-99.4%
Will another outcome occur in the NY-10 Democratic Primary?	Yes	10	0.001	$0.01	$-1.66	-99.4%