| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
10,000 |
0.816 |
$8,155.00 |
$3,155.00 |
+63.1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
3,331 |
0.961 |
$3,199.07 |
$62.20 |
+2.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.184 |
$1,845.02 |
$-3,155.00 |
-63.1% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
1,945 |
0.929 |
$1,808.06 |
$2.52 |
+0.1% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
62,145 |
0.022 |
$1,367.20 |
$508.04 |
+59.1% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? |
No |
1,231 |
0.815 |
$1,002.95 |
$7.60 |
+0.8% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
933 |
0.954 |
$889.25 |
$19.02 |
+2.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
795 |
0.988 |
$785.11 |
$9.24 |
+1.2% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? |
No |
280 |
0.860 |
$240.51 |
$2.80 |
+1.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
271 |
0.695 |
$188.46 |
$-12.43 |
-6.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
176 |
0.963 |
$169.19 |
$4.14 |
+2.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
235 |
0.680 |
$159.79 |
$4.40 |
+2.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.145 |
$116.00 |
$-58.00 |
-33.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.905 |
$90.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.875 |
$87.50 |
$1.50 |
+1.7% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? |
Yes |
983 |
0.085 |
$83.55 |
$-34.61 |
-29.3% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
3,200 |
0.026 |
$83.20 |
$-228.96 |
-73.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.385 |
$77.00 |
$-4.60 |
-5.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.215 |
$43.00 |
$-11.00 |
-20.4% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? |
Yes |
140 |
0.295 |
$41.30 |
$-63.80 |
-60.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.310 |
$32.56 |
$-12.45 |
-27.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? |
No |
40 |
0.730 |
$29.20 |
$-2.80 |
-8.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.140 |
$28.00 |
$-6.00 |
-17.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? |
No |
34 |
0.805 |
$27.57 |
$0.17 |
+0.6% |