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Trader leaderboard/tymedu

tymedu

0xf25b97c7b6b9cc2a8f898ae3bdf157781a6882d0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$88
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$95
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
23W / 129L · 100 open
Win Return (30d)
16%
39W / 204L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
252
across 55 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$3.04
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.08
$8 won / $96 lost
Reward / Risk
0.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$26
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,103 · all-time $1,642,530

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.2% 583W/1,284L 636 $56,813
⚽ Sports 48.5% 16W/17L 34 $1,767
🏛 Politics 30.0% 12W/28L 28 $2,113
🎬 Culture 13.8% 4W/25L 16 $837
💵 Economy 57.1% 16W/12L 14 $395
₿ Crypto 57.1% 8W/6L 8 $73
🤖 Tech 37.0% 10W/17L 6 $729

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid? No 100 0.905 $90.50 $-0.50 -0.5%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in August? No 100 0.840 $84.00 $-4.32 -4.9%
Will Scottie Scheffler be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 50 0.926 $46.30 $0.25 +0.5%
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? Yes 50 0.905 $45.27 $-0.72 -1.6%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 105m by August 31? No 50 0.795 $39.75 $-4.75 -10.7%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? No 44 0.879 $39.12 $-0.89 -2.2%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? Yes 12 0.997 $11.96 $1.16 +10.7%
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament No 12 0.620 $7.30 $0.12 +1.6%
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? No 50 0.095 $4.72 $-1.17 -19.9%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 15? No 50 0.090 $4.50 $-1.50 -25.0%
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? No 215 0.016 $3.43 $-4.24 -55.3%
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 40 0.080 $3.20 $-0.80 -20.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.060 $3.00 $-0.50 -14.3%
Will Valorant Mobile win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 20 0.090 $1.80 $-0.40 -18.2%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? Yes 220 0.006 $1.32 $-2.88 -68.6%
Will Crisp Penta in LPL Split 3 2026? Yes 50 0.025 $1.27 $-0.83 -39.5%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? Yes 50 0.018 $0.88 $-1.62 -65.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? No 138 0.004 $0.48 $-33.50 -98.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 50 0.005 $0.25 $-1.35 -84.4%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? No 20 0.001 $0.01 $-1.59 -99.4%