PnL (30d)

−$35

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$68

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

26W / 183L · 55 open

Win Return (30d)

14%

37W / 223L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

264

across 69 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.66

avg win $9 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.68

$76 won / $111 lost

Reward / Risk

3.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$20

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.0% 586W/1,303L	656	$57,600
⚽ Sports	48.5% 16W/17L	36	$1,879
🏛 Politics	30.0% 12W/28L	29	$2,115
🎬 Culture	13.3% 4W/26L	19	$929
💵 Economy	57.1% 16W/12L	15	$399
₿ Crypto	57.1% 8W/6L	10	$94
🤖 Tech	35.7% 10W/18L	9	$781

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?	No	100	0.905	$90.50	$-0.50	-0.5%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in August?	No	100	0.840	$84.00	$-4.32	-4.9%
Will Scottie Scheffler be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	50	0.926	$46.33	$0.27	+0.6%
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?	Yes	50	0.911	$45.57	$-0.43	-0.9%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	No	44	0.878	$39.07	$-0.93	-2.3%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 105m by August 31?	No	50	0.770	$38.50	$-6.00	-13.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?	Yes	12	0.997	$11.96	$1.16	+10.7%
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?	No	50	0.088	$4.42	$-1.47	-25.0%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 15?	No	50	0.075	$3.75	$-2.25	-37.5%
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?	No	215	0.016	$3.43	$-4.24	-55.3%
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	40	0.080	$3.20	$-0.80	-20.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	50	0.060	$3.00	$-0.50	-14.3%
Will Alabama Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	41	0.070	$2.87	$-0.82	-22.2%
Will Valorant Mobile win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	20	0.080	$1.60	$-0.60	-27.3%
Will Crisp Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.025	$1.27	$-0.83	-39.5%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	220	0.005	$1.21	$-2.99	-71.2%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	50	0.017	$0.85	$-1.65	-66.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?	No	138	0.004	$0.48	$-33.50	-98.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.005	$0.25	$-1.35	-84.4%