PnL (30d)

−$948

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$380

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

583W / 1,282L · 746 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

735W / 1,752L · 124 open

Trades (30d)

2,611

across 636 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$2.25

avg win $3 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.31

$429 won / $1,376 lost

Reward / Risk

0.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$370

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.3% 583W/1,282L	636	$56,813
⚽ Sports	48.5% 16W/17L	38	$1,917
🏛 Politics	36.6% 15W/26L	28	$2,136
💵 Economy	54.5% 18W/15L	18	$407
🎬 Culture	24.2% 8W/25L	17	$872
₿ Crypto	55.6% 10W/8L	11	$77
🤖 Tech	32.4% 11W/23L	8	$749

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?	No	100	0.905	$90.50	$-0.50	-0.5%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in August?	No	100	0.875	$87.50	$-0.82	-0.9%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	70	0.900	$63.00	$2.60	+4.3%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 100m by August 31?	Yes	70	0.595	$41.65	$-4.85	-10.4%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	No	44	0.885	$39.38	$-0.62	-1.6%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	32	0.925	$29.60	$0.80	+2.8%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of August 3 2026?	No	160	0.100	$16.04	$-31.39	-66.2%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?	No	138	0.100	$13.75	$-20.23	-59.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?	Yes	12	0.900	$10.80	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 100m by August 31?	No	24	0.405	$9.67	$-1.12	-10.4%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week?	No	70	0.075	$5.25	$0.25	+5.0%
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?	No	215	0.016	$3.43	$-4.24	-55.3%
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	50	0.060	$3.00	$-0.50	-14.3%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 15?	No	20	0.100	$2.00	$-0.40	-16.7%
Will T1 Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	Yes	20	0.100	$2.00	$-0.20	-9.1%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	220	0.006	$1.32	$-2.88	-68.6%
Will Crisp Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.026	$1.30	$-0.80	-38.1%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	50	0.018	$0.93	$-1.57	-63.0%
Will Kamu Kirk be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	56	0.011	$0.59	$-0.71	-54.9%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.006	$0.30	$-1.30	-81.2%