ithinkthisisgod
0xf1ff40f082633619cd012bb96affb4ac7a645b03
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$750
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$18
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-44.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
16%
12W / 62L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
16%
13W / 69L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
84
across 14 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$75.05
avg win $23 · loss $140
Profit Factor
0.11
$91 won / $842 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $71,366 · all-time $1,224,308
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
8,469 |
0.205 |
$1,736.18 |
$-1,677.59 |
-49.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,217 |
0.601 |
$730.82 |
$84.91 |
+13.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? |
Yes |
873 |
0.350 |
$305.43 |
$-4.73 |
-1.5% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
Yes |
1,120 |
0.135 |
$151.22 |
$5.60 |
+3.8% |
| Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01? |
Yes |
4,444 |
0.021 |
$95.11 |
$-64.88 |
-40.6% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? |
Yes |
1,038 |
0.080 |
$82.50 |
$21.93 |
+36.2% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
117 |
0.405 |
$47.42 |
$-3.63 |
-7.1% |
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10? |
No |
34 |
0.270 |
$9.08 |
$0.67 |
+8.0% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
8 |
0.440 |
$3.59 |
$-0.41 |
-10.2% |