ithinkthisisgod
0xf1ff40f082633619cd012bb96affb4ac7a645b03
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$740
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$54
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-17.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
24W / 56L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
27%
24W / 64L
Trades (30d)
88
across 13 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$73.96
avg win $99 · loss $247
Profit Factor
0.40
$494 won / $1,234 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$656
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $70,088 · all-time $1,223,030
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
8,423 |
0.215 |
$1,811.03 |
$-1,594.27 |
-46.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,147 |
0.530 |
$608.14 |
$1.12 |
+0.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? |
Yes |
873 |
0.350 |
$305.43 |
$-4.73 |
-1.5% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? |
Yes |
1,038 |
0.105 |
$109.48 |
$48.91 |
+80.7% |
| Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01? |
Yes |
4,444 |
0.019 |
$86.67 |
$-73.33 |
-45.8% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
117 |
0.343 |
$40.15 |
$-10.89 |
-21.3% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
8 |
0.350 |
$2.86 |
$-1.14 |
-28.6% |