ithinkthisisgod
0xf1ff40f082633619cd012bb96affb4ac7a645b03
PnL (30d)
+$4,647
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,752
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+18.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
144W / 235L · 129 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
148W / 358L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
508
across 83 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$68.34
avg win $314 · loss $137
Profit Factor
1.92
$9,722 won / $5,075 lost
Reward / Risk
2.29
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,891
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $68,941 · all-time $1,221,882
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
8,423 |
0.215 |
$1,811.03 |
$-1,594.27 |
-46.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,147 |
0.545 |
$625.92 |
$18.90 |
+3.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? |
Yes |
873 |
0.350 |
$305.43 |
$-4.73 |
-1.5% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? |
Yes |
1,038 |
0.102 |
$105.74 |
$45.17 |
+74.6% |
| Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01? |
Yes |
4,444 |
0.023 |
$102.22 |
$-57.77 |
-36.1% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
117 |
0.336 |
$39.39 |
$-11.66 |
-22.8% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
8 |
0.340 |
$2.78 |
$-1.22 |
-30.6% |