| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto |
Nothing |
110 |
0.964 |
$106.04 |
$-0.19 |
-0.2% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
100 |
0.994 |
$99.35 |
$49.35 |
+98.7% |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.962 |
$96.20 |
$0.18 |
+0.2% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
No |
30 |
0.981 |
$29.41 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.977 |
$19.53 |
$0.41 |
+2.1% |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? |
No |
15 |
0.981 |
$14.51 |
$0.08 |
+0.6% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.962 |
$14.42 |
$-0.05 |
-0.3% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.981 |
$9.80 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.932 |
$9.32 |
$0.31 |
+3.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? |
Yes |
500 |
0.013 |
$6.25 |
$1.25 |
+25.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
6 |
0.998 |
$6.07 |
$1.93 |
+46.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? |
Yes |
574 |
0.009 |
$5.17 |
$0.18 |
+3.6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? |
Yes |
450 |
0.011 |
$4.72 |
$-0.22 |
-4.5% |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.945 |
$4.72 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9? |
No |
3 |
0.969 |
$2.97 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.006 |
$0.65 |
$-49.35 |
-98.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 5? |
Yes |
34 |
0.015 |
$0.50 |
$-2.50 |
-83.2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August? |
Yes |
50 |
0.006 |
$0.32 |
$0.02 |
+8.3% |