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Trader

0xf114b578bc08e5641d4cbfbb52e6e97b038d6ecc
PnL (30d)
+$2,533
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+18.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
1,294W / 842L · 61 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
1,325W / 860L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
2,197
across 607 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$4.35
avg win $14 · loss $7
Profit Factor
2.32
$4,445 won / $1,912 lost
Reward / Risk
2.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$256
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,507 · all-time $712,944

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.6% 1,294W/842L 607 $28,173
🌤 Weather 45.3% 73W/88L 55 $1,516
₿ Crypto 7 $233
🏛 Politics 4 $164
🎬 Culture 2 $168
🤖 Tech 2 $105
💵 Economy 2 $78
🔬 Science 1 $14

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing 110 0.964 $105.98 $-0.24 -0.2%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 100 0.994 $99.35 $49.35 +98.7%
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No 100 0.962 $96.20 $0.18 +0.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 30 0.981 $29.41 $0.01 +0.1%
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No 20 0.977 $19.53 $0.41 +2.1%
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No 15 0.981 $14.51 $0.08 +0.6%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 15 0.963 $14.44 $-0.03 -0.2%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No 10 0.981 $9.80 $-0.01 -0.2%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No 10 0.931 $9.31 $0.31 +3.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? Yes 500 0.013 $6.25 $1.25 +25.0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? Yes 450 0.011 $4.72 $-0.22 -4.5%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No 5 0.945 $4.72 $0.03 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? No 6 0.773 $4.71 $0.57 +13.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9? No 3 0.979 $2.99 $0.02 +0.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? Yes 75 0.009 $0.71 $0.21 +41.4%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 100 0.006 $0.65 $-49.35 -98.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August? Yes 35 0.006 $0.23 $0.02 +8.3%