Tourte-chaude
0xf08c827f8bccc70f51686be5538611fa696a91e9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
2W / 0L
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.01
avg win $1
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,480 · all-time $215,077
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
1,781 |
0.210 |
$373.91 |
$29.87 |
+8.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
240 |
0.982 |
$235.68 |
$83.78 |
+55.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
442 |
0.150 |
$66.28 |
$-19.06 |
-22.3% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
183 |
0.107 |
$19.58 |
$1.56 |
+8.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.760 |
$7.60 |
$1.10 |
+16.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
74 |
0.096 |
$7.08 |
$-0.33 |
-4.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.036 |
$1.39 |
$-4.69 |
-77.2% |