Tourte-chaude
0xf08c827f8bccc70f51686be5538611fa696a91e9
PnL (30d)
−$998
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$139
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-28.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
19%
26W / 114L · 30 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
50W / 120L
Trades (30d)
170
across 32 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$41.57
avg win $43 · loss $142
Profit Factor
0.36
$560 won / $1,557 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,480 · all-time $215,077
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
1,781 |
0.235 |
$418.42 |
$74.38 |
+21.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
240 |
0.982 |
$235.56 |
$83.66 |
+55.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
442 |
0.150 |
$66.28 |
$-19.06 |
-22.3% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
183 |
0.110 |
$20.04 |
$2.02 |
+11.2% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.760 |
$7.60 |
$1.10 |
+16.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
74 |
0.098 |
$7.23 |
$-0.19 |
-2.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.040 |
$1.50 |
$-4.58 |
-75.3% |