Tourte-chaude
0xf08c827f8bccc70f51686be5538611fa696a91e9
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$2
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
4W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
80%
4W / 1L
Trades (30d)
5
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.83
avg win $13 · loss $23
Profit Factor
1.11
$25 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,480 · all-time $215,077
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
1,781 |
0.220 |
$391.71 |
$47.67 |
+13.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
240 |
0.982 |
$235.68 |
$83.78 |
+55.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
442 |
0.150 |
$66.28 |
$-19.06 |
-22.3% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
183 |
0.107 |
$19.58 |
$1.56 |
+8.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.760 |
$7.60 |
$1.10 |
+16.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
74 |
0.097 |
$7.16 |
$-0.26 |
-3.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.036 |
$1.39 |
$-4.69 |
-77.2% |