| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
5,630 |
0.881 |
$4,962.73 |
$100.94 |
+2.1% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
4,216 |
0.925 |
$3,899.48 |
$229.73 |
+6.3% |
| NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? |
No |
3,853 |
0.958 |
$3,691.04 |
$332.64 |
+9.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
3,929 |
0.795 |
$3,123.73 |
$284.87 |
+10.0% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
3,477 |
0.480 |
$1,668.85 |
$-727.13 |
-30.3% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
No |
1,615 |
0.845 |
$1,364.75 |
$235.50 |
+20.9% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
1,203 |
0.954 |
$1,147.73 |
$-6.54 |
-0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,388 |
0.825 |
$1,145.09 |
$-51.34 |
-4.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,088 |
0.976 |
$1,061.86 |
$8.55 |
+0.8% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
888 |
0.957 |
$849.82 |
$24.98 |
+3.0% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? |
No |
969 |
0.825 |
$799.05 |
$74.02 |
+10.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
867 |
0.900 |
$780.00 |
$46.17 |
+6.3% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
845 |
0.725 |
$612.81 |
$21.56 |
+3.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
700 |
0.875 |
$612.44 |
$47.31 |
+8.4% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Yes |
3,711 |
0.165 |
$612.39 |
$113.56 |
+22.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
888 |
0.615 |
$546.12 |
$13.32 |
+2.5% |
| Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? |
Yes |
386 |
0.977 |
$377.00 |
$34.63 |
+10.1% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
508 |
0.705 |
$358.31 |
$16.99 |
+5.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? |
No |
389 |
0.860 |
$334.49 |
$32.14 |
+10.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
535 |
0.590 |
$315.85 |
$-41.43 |
-11.6% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? |
No |
336 |
0.925 |
$310.83 |
$10.47 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
328 |
0.865 |
$283.72 |
$4.92 |
+1.8% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? |
No |
319 |
0.875 |
$279.17 |
$51.40 |
+22.6% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
300 |
0.895 |
$268.50 |
$94.00 |
+53.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.845 |
$253.50 |
$16.50 |
+7.0% |