| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
5,630 |
0.889 |
$5,007.77 |
$145.98 |
+3.0% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
4,216 |
0.925 |
$3,899.48 |
$229.73 |
+6.3% |
| NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? |
No |
3,853 |
0.958 |
$3,691.04 |
$332.64 |
+9.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
3,929 |
0.790 |
$3,104.08 |
$265.22 |
+9.3% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
3,477 |
0.465 |
$1,616.70 |
$-779.28 |
-32.5% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
No |
1,615 |
0.845 |
$1,364.75 |
$235.50 |
+20.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,388 |
0.825 |
$1,145.09 |
$-51.34 |
-4.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,088 |
0.973 |
$1,058.60 |
$5.29 |
+0.5% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
888 |
0.958 |
$850.26 |
$25.42 |
+3.1% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? |
No |
969 |
0.825 |
$799.05 |
$74.02 |
+10.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
867 |
0.860 |
$745.34 |
$11.51 |
+1.6% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
700 |
0.970 |
$678.63 |
$0.26 |
+0.0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
845 |
0.725 |
$612.81 |
$21.56 |
+3.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Yes |
3,634 |
0.165 |
$599.69 |
$113.18 |
+23.3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
700 |
0.855 |
$598.45 |
$33.31 |
+5.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
888 |
0.620 |
$550.56 |
$17.76 |
+3.3% |
| Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? |
Yes |
386 |
0.977 |
$377.19 |
$34.82 |
+10.2% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
508 |
0.705 |
$358.31 |
$16.99 |
+5.0% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
535 |
0.655 |
$350.65 |
$-6.63 |
-1.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? |
No |
389 |
0.860 |
$334.49 |
$32.14 |
+10.6% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? |
No |
336 |
0.925 |
$310.83 |
$10.47 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
328 |
0.865 |
$283.72 |
$4.92 |
+1.8% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? |
No |
319 |
0.875 |
$279.17 |
$51.40 |
+22.6% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
300 |
0.905 |
$271.50 |
$97.00 |
+55.6% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man? |
No |
417 |
0.620 |
$258.28 |
$-66.56 |
-20.5% |