| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
5,630 |
0.889 |
$5,007.77 |
$145.98 |
+3.0% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
4,216 |
0.925 |
$3,899.48 |
$229.73 |
+6.3% |
| NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? |
No |
3,853 |
0.968 |
$3,727.64 |
$369.24 |
+11.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
3,952 |
0.790 |
$3,122.00 |
$266.75 |
+9.3% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
3,477 |
0.465 |
$1,616.70 |
$-779.28 |
-32.5% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
No |
1,615 |
0.845 |
$1,364.75 |
$235.50 |
+20.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,388 |
0.845 |
$1,172.85 |
$-23.58 |
-2.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,088 |
0.968 |
$1,052.61 |
$-0.70 |
-0.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
1,216 |
0.835 |
$1,015.65 |
$38.24 |
+3.9% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
888 |
0.977 |
$867.13 |
$42.29 |
+5.1% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? |
No |
969 |
0.825 |
$799.05 |
$74.02 |
+10.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
867 |
0.885 |
$767.00 |
$33.17 |
+4.5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
915 |
0.725 |
$663.60 |
$23.34 |
+3.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
888 |
0.625 |
$555.00 |
$22.20 |
+4.2% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Yes |
3,534 |
0.155 |
$547.84 |
$77.33 |
+16.4% |
| Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? |
Yes |
386 |
0.978 |
$377.58 |
$35.21 |
+10.3% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
535 |
0.665 |
$356.00 |
$-1.28 |
-0.4% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
488 |
0.695 |
$339.28 |
$11.96 |
+3.7% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? |
No |
389 |
0.860 |
$334.49 |
$32.14 |
+10.6% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
336 |
0.973 |
$326.83 |
$0.35 |
+0.1% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? |
No |
336 |
0.925 |
$310.83 |
$10.47 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
328 |
0.865 |
$283.72 |
$4.92 |
+1.8% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? |
No |
319 |
0.875 |
$279.17 |
$51.40 |
+22.6% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
300 |
0.890 |
$267.00 |
$92.50 |
+53.0% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
278 |
0.885 |
$245.73 |
$-2.39 |
-1.0% |