| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
6,500,000 |
0.790 |
$5,138,250.00 |
$1,888,250.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
6,500,000 |
0.209 |
$1,361,750.00 |
$-1,888,250.00 |
-58.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
201,047 |
0.935 |
$187,978.99 |
$4,103.17 |
+2.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
190,668 |
0.963 |
$183,518.31 |
$15,470.83 |
+9.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
124,792 |
0.964 |
$120,236.87 |
$9,140.75 |
+8.2% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
112,531 |
0.955 |
$107,467.37 |
$4,974.78 |
+4.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
101,898 |
0.974 |
$99,197.61 |
$2,588.72 |
+2.7% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
63,618 |
0.993 |
$63,141.14 |
$224.25 |
+0.4% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
64,129 |
0.915 |
$58,677.79 |
$-653.22 |
-1.1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
42,125 |
0.955 |
$40,228.97 |
$2,045.70 |
+5.4% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
Yes |
37,374 |
0.962 |
$35,954.10 |
$1,105.42 |
+3.2% |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
32,539 |
0.978 |
$31,807.11 |
$1,196.73 |
+3.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
33,094 |
0.885 |
$29,287.95 |
$1,461.35 |
+5.3% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? |
No |
27,685 |
0.990 |
$27,394.72 |
$306.95 |
+1.1% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
No |
25,891 |
0.977 |
$25,282.42 |
$2,175.32 |
+9.4% |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? |
No |
22,499 |
0.981 |
$22,060.08 |
$815.47 |
+3.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
17,176 |
1.000 |
$17,167.90 |
$83.70 |
+0.5% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? |
No |
11,767 |
0.945 |
$11,120.01 |
$650.29 |
+6.2% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
No |
10,632 |
0.956 |
$10,164.53 |
$165.51 |
+1.7% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
11,062 |
0.915 |
$10,122.17 |
$417.55 |
+4.3% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? |
No |
8,984 |
0.994 |
$8,929.82 |
$183.56 |
+2.1% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? |
No |
13,959 |
0.605 |
$8,445.00 |
$1,058.17 |
+14.3% |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? |
No |
8,376 |
0.955 |
$7,994.65 |
$299.48 |
+3.9% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
7,500 |
0.987 |
$7,398.73 |
$248.80 |
+3.5% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5,795 |
0.973 |
$5,636.07 |
$-28.80 |
-0.5% |