SaylorMoon
0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$38,120
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-14.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
412W / 565L
Win Return (30d)
42%
412W / 565L
Trades (30d)
977
across 29 markets · ~34 per market
EV / position
−$1,314.49
avg win $1,892 · loss $8,440
Profit Factor
0.50
$37,843 won / $75,963 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,471
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $77,600,606
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
54,386 |
0.845 |
$45,956.26 |
$9,386.01 |
+25.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
25,438 |
0.715 |
$18,188.00 |
$4,891.17 |
+36.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
10,000 |
0.935 |
$9,349.84 |
$4,149.93 |
+79.8% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
6,790 |
0.825 |
$5,602.16 |
$378.01 |
+7.2% |