PnL (30d)

−$1,929

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,353

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

675W / 585L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

715W / 585L

Trades (30d)

1,300

across 46 markets · ~28 per market

EV / position

−$42.86

avg win $2,342 · loss $5,912

Profit Factor

0.97

$74,929 won / $76,858 lost

Reward / Risk

0.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,471

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.6% 675W/585L	46	$624,300
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	1	$1,033
💵 Economy	100.0% 5W/0L	1	$1,033
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$2,471

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	54,386	0.845	$45,956.26	$9,386.01	+25.7%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	25,438	0.715	$18,188.00	$4,891.17	+36.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	10,000	0.935	$9,349.84	$4,149.93	+79.8%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	6,790	0.825	$5,602.16	$378.01	+7.2%