SaylorMoon
0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$157
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2,353
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
9W / 14L · 40 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
49W / 14L
Trades (30d)
63
across 4 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
−$52.31
avg win $102 · loss $360
Profit Factor
0.56
$203 won / $360 lost
Reward / Risk
0.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $77,600,606
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
54,386 |
0.835 |
$45,412.39 |
$8,842.15 |
+24.2% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
25,438 |
0.715 |
$18,188.00 |
$4,891.17 |
+36.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
10,000 |
0.935 |
$9,349.84 |
$4,149.93 |
+79.8% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
6,790 |
0.825 |
$5,602.16 |
$378.01 |
+7.2% |