| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
41,064 |
0.830 |
$34,083.13 |
$14,500.65 |
+74.0% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
27,790 |
0.798 |
$22,190.51 |
$6,766.90 |
+43.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
29,710 |
0.635 |
$18,865.60 |
$-3,016.65 |
-13.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
20,552 |
0.855 |
$17,572.25 |
$4,378.94 |
+33.2% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
17,223 |
0.985 |
$16,955.57 |
$7,219.33 |
+74.1% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
51,475 |
0.202 |
$10,372.21 |
$-27,609.43 |
-72.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
7,302 |
0.997 |
$7,276.92 |
$1,896.29 |
+35.2% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
6,971 |
0.982 |
$6,842.51 |
$4,706.40 |
+220.3% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
4,927 |
0.992 |
$4,887.62 |
$1,925.17 |
+65.0% |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
4,282 |
0.957 |
$4,095.65 |
$1,067.91 |
+35.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
3,273 |
1.000 |
$3,271.72 |
$1,033.07 |
+46.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
1,582 |
0.982 |
$1,553.26 |
$1,098.55 |
+241.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
1,437 |
0.890 |
$1,279.07 |
$172.46 |
+15.6% |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
1,188 |
0.977 |
$1,160.44 |
$812.64 |
+233.6% |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? |
No |
704 |
1.000 |
$703.44 |
$237.11 |
+50.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
676 |
0.995 |
$672.20 |
$346.10 |
+106.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? |
No |
503 |
0.997 |
$501.57 |
$208.18 |
+71.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
5,913 |
0.030 |
$177.39 |
$-4,093.27 |
-95.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
63 |
0.992 |
$62.28 |
$30.99 |
+99.0% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
1,040 |
0.034 |
$35.37 |
$-722.56 |
-95.3% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
779 |
0.029 |
$22.97 |
$-600.03 |
-96.3% |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? |
No |
980 |
0.021 |
$20.08 |
$-571.93 |
-96.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
22,609 |
0.001 |
$11.30 |
$-3,895.39 |
-99.7% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
No |
459 |
0.015 |
$7.11 |
$-302.21 |
-97.7% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
10,000 |
0.001 |
$5.00 |
$-1,495.00 |
-99.7% |