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Trader leaderboard/Melody626

Melody626

0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9
PnL (30d)
−$47,035
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$18,580
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
871W / 1,209L · 533 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
988W / 1,625L
Trades (30d)
2,613
across 209 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$251.52
avg win $2,346 · loss $3,651
Profit Factor
0.84
$248,723 won / $295,758 lost
Reward / Risk
0.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$39,062
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $421,634 · all-time $33,884,150

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.9% 871W/1,209L 209 $1,344,338
🏛 Politics 5.6% 2W/34L 9 $97,361
🎬 Culture 10.1% 10W/89L 4 $133,954
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 3 $98,610

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 41,064 0.785 $32,235.25 $12,652.77 +64.6%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 27,790 0.805 $22,371.15 $6,947.53 +45.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 29,710 0.625 $18,568.51 $-3,313.75 -15.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 20,552 0.825 $16,955.68 $3,762.37 +28.5%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? Yes 17,223 0.985 $16,955.57 $7,219.33 +74.1%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? No 51,475 0.195 $10,037.62 $-27,944.02 -73.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? No 7,302 1.000 $7,298.82 $1,918.20 +35.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 6,971 0.993 $6,919.19 $4,783.08 +223.9%
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 4,927 0.988 $4,865.45 $1,903.00 +64.2%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes 4,282 0.974 $4,168.44 $1,140.70 +37.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? No 3,273 0.999 $3,268.45 $1,029.79 +46.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 1,582 0.983 $1,554.84 $1,100.13 +241.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 1,437 0.855 $1,228.77 $122.16 +11.0%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes 1,188 0.989 $1,175.30 $827.50 +237.9%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? No 704 1.000 $703.44 $237.11 +50.8%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 676 0.991 $669.50 $343.40 +105.3%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 10,000 0.057 $565.00 $-935.00 -62.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? No 503 0.997 $501.32 $207.92 +70.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 5,913 0.029 $174.44 $-4,096.23 -95.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 22,609 0.004 $79.13 $-3,827.56 -98.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 63 0.991 $62.24 $30.95 +98.9%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 1,040 0.034 $35.37 $-722.56 -95.3%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 779 0.032 $24.53 $-598.47 -96.1%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? No 980 0.021 $20.08 $-571.93 -96.6%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? No 459 0.015 $7.11 $-302.21 -97.7%