| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
41,064 |
0.785 |
$32,235.25 |
$12,652.77 |
+64.6% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
27,790 |
0.800 |
$22,232.20 |
$6,808.58 |
+44.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
29,710 |
0.625 |
$18,568.51 |
$-3,313.75 |
-15.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
20,552 |
0.825 |
$16,955.68 |
$3,762.37 |
+28.5% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
17,223 |
0.985 |
$16,955.57 |
$7,219.33 |
+74.1% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
51,475 |
0.200 |
$10,295.00 |
$-27,686.65 |
-72.9% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
7,302 |
1.000 |
$7,298.82 |
$1,918.20 |
+35.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
6,971 |
0.993 |
$6,919.19 |
$4,783.08 |
+223.9% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
4,927 |
0.988 |
$4,865.45 |
$1,903.00 |
+64.2% |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
4,282 |
0.963 |
$4,123.48 |
$1,095.74 |
+36.2% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
3,273 |
0.999 |
$3,270.09 |
$1,031.43 |
+46.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
1,582 |
0.983 |
$1,554.05 |
$1,099.34 |
+241.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
1,437 |
0.855 |
$1,228.77 |
$122.16 |
+11.0% |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
1,188 |
0.988 |
$1,173.52 |
$825.71 |
+237.4% |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? |
No |
704 |
1.000 |
$703.44 |
$237.11 |
+50.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
676 |
0.992 |
$669.84 |
$343.73 |
+105.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? |
No |
503 |
0.997 |
$501.32 |
$207.92 |
+70.9% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
10,000 |
0.050 |
$495.00 |
$-1,005.00 |
-67.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
5,913 |
0.029 |
$174.44 |
$-4,096.23 |
-95.9% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
22,609 |
0.005 |
$113.05 |
$-3,793.65 |
-97.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
63 |
0.991 |
$62.24 |
$30.95 |
+98.9% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
1,040 |
0.032 |
$33.29 |
$-724.64 |
-95.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
779 |
0.032 |
$24.92 |
$-598.08 |
-96.0% |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? |
No |
980 |
0.021 |
$20.08 |
$-571.93 |
-96.6% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
No |
459 |
0.015 |
$7.11 |
$-302.21 |
-97.7% |