| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
1,861 |
0.790 |
$1,470.28 |
$810.28 |
+122.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026? |
No |
470 |
0.845 |
$397.15 |
$22.28 |
+5.9% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31? |
No |
567 |
0.675 |
$383.02 |
$-4.98 |
-1.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.325 |
$325.00 |
$-42.00 |
-11.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
245 |
0.960 |
$235.20 |
$-0.73 |
-0.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? |
No |
205 |
0.979 |
$200.94 |
$0.94 |
+0.5% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? |
No |
323 |
0.620 |
$200.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
221 |
0.835 |
$184.38 |
$47.11 |
+34.3% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026? |
No |
199 |
0.905 |
$179.67 |
$17.36 |
+10.7% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026? |
No |
175 |
0.958 |
$167.22 |
$42.29 |
+33.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 26, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.895 |
$161.10 |
$15.60 |
+10.7% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 23, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.895 |
$107.83 |
$7.83 |
+7.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.885 |
$107.55 |
$7.55 |
+7.6% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.880 |
$107.32 |
$7.32 |
+7.3% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 9, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.875 |
$105.42 |
$5.42 |
+5.4% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.945 |
$103.85 |
$3.85 |
+3.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
119 |
0.845 |
$100.80 |
$0.80 |
+0.8% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.915 |
$100.63 |
$0.55 |
+0.5% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.125 |
$100.00 |
$20.00 |
+25.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.976 |
$98.21 |
$0.20 |
+0.2% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
110 |
0.825 |
$90.75 |
$-0.75 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
667 |
0.135 |
$90.00 |
$-10.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.730 |
$73.00 |
$12.00 |
+19.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.065 |
$72.22 |
$-27.78 |
-27.8% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.220 |
$66.00 |
$34.09 |
+106.9% |