| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
1,861 |
0.785 |
$1,460.97 |
$800.98 |
+121.4% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026? |
No |
470 |
0.855 |
$401.85 |
$26.98 |
+7.2% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31? |
No |
567 |
0.675 |
$383.02 |
$-4.98 |
-1.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.325 |
$325.00 |
$-42.00 |
-11.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
245 |
0.959 |
$234.96 |
$-0.98 |
-0.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? |
No |
205 |
0.979 |
$200.94 |
$0.94 |
+0.5% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? |
No |
323 |
0.620 |
$200.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
221 |
0.835 |
$184.38 |
$47.11 |
+34.3% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026? |
No |
199 |
0.905 |
$179.67 |
$17.36 |
+10.7% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026? |
No |
175 |
0.958 |
$167.31 |
$42.38 |
+33.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 26, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.890 |
$160.20 |
$14.70 |
+10.1% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.895 |
$109.15 |
$9.15 |
+9.1% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 9, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.895 |
$107.83 |
$7.83 |
+7.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 23, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.890 |
$107.23 |
$7.23 |
+7.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.870 |
$105.73 |
$5.73 |
+5.7% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.945 |
$103.85 |
$3.85 |
+3.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
119 |
0.850 |
$101.39 |
$1.39 |
+1.4% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.125 |
$100.00 |
$20.00 |
+25.0% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.905 |
$99.53 |
$-0.55 |
-0.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.976 |
$98.21 |
$0.20 |
+0.2% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
110 |
0.825 |
$90.75 |
$-0.75 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
667 |
0.135 |
$90.00 |
$-10.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.760 |
$76.00 |
$15.00 |
+24.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.065 |
$72.22 |
$-27.78 |
-27.8% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.215 |
$64.50 |
$32.59 |
+102.2% |