| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
1,861 |
0.790 |
$1,470.28 |
$810.28 |
+122.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026? |
No |
470 |
0.860 |
$404.20 |
$29.33 |
+7.8% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31? |
No |
567 |
0.675 |
$383.02 |
$-4.98 |
-1.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.325 |
$325.00 |
$-42.00 |
-11.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
245 |
0.962 |
$235.69 |
$-0.24 |
-0.1% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? |
No |
323 |
0.625 |
$201.61 |
$1.61 |
+0.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? |
No |
205 |
0.979 |
$200.94 |
$0.94 |
+0.5% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
221 |
0.845 |
$186.58 |
$49.32 |
+35.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026? |
No |
199 |
0.905 |
$179.67 |
$17.36 |
+10.7% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026? |
No |
175 |
0.963 |
$168.09 |
$43.16 |
+34.6% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 26, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.905 |
$162.90 |
$17.40 |
+12.0% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
221 |
0.600 |
$132.70 |
$84.41 |
+174.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.885 |
$107.93 |
$7.93 |
+7.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 23, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.890 |
$107.23 |
$7.23 |
+7.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 9, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.875 |
$105.42 |
$5.42 |
+5.4% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.865 |
$105.12 |
$5.12 |
+5.1% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.950 |
$104.40 |
$4.40 |
+4.4% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
119 |
0.855 |
$101.99 |
$1.99 |
+2.0% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.915 |
$100.63 |
$0.55 |
+0.5% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.125 |
$100.00 |
$20.00 |
+25.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.976 |
$98.15 |
$0.15 |
+0.2% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
110 |
0.825 |
$90.75 |
$-0.75 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
667 |
0.135 |
$90.00 |
$-10.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.730 |
$73.00 |
$12.00 |
+19.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.065 |
$72.22 |
$-27.78 |
-27.8% |