PnL (30d)

−$101

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$251

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

3,378W / 8,811L · 3,233 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

5,999W / 9,417L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

15,422

across 52 markets · ~297 per market

EV / position

−$3.49

avg win $121 · loss $91

Profit Factor

0.93

$1,448 won / $1,549 lost

Reward / Risk

1.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$690

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.1% 9,501W/12,523L	98	$50,940
🏛 Politics	32.8% 3,738W/7,668L	52	$27,644
🎬 Culture	32.8% 3,738W/7,668L	52	$27,644

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	511	0.415	$211.98	$39.23	+22.7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	211	0.970	$204.51	$37.64	+22.6%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	191	0.995	$190.42	$0.83	+0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	190	1.000	$189.54	$2.68	+1.4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	476	0.325	$154.55	$43.71	+39.4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	164	0.845	$138.46	$-0.66	-0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	136	0.971	$131.85	$-1.01	-0.8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	120	0.895	$107.50	$2.59	+2.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	124	0.815	$100.95	$-2.91	-2.8%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	114	0.825	$94.21	$-3.73	-3.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	89	0.925	$82.52	$1.36	+1.7%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	67	1.000	$66.51	$3.21	+5.1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	98	0.525	$51.55	$-1.31	-2.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	44	0.933	$40.92	$-0.10	-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	31	0.985	$30.05	$-0.09	-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	28	0.980	$27.11	$0.54	+2.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	21	0.730	$15.44	$0.55	+3.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	13	0.992	$13.20	$0.15	+1.2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	89	0.127	$11.20	$-2.95	-20.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	313	0.030	$9.54	$-10.82	-53.1%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	9	0.998	$8.93	$0.03	+0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	396	0.021	$8.12	$-3.72	-31.4%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	3	0.982	$2.87	$0.04	+1.5%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	3	0.825	$2.10	$-0.06	-2.9%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	1	0.930	$1.34	$0.01	+1.1%